Following Germany’s destruction of England and now Argentina, I’m getting distinctly worried that Professor Tolan’s probability theory is about to be proved correct.
It will be a sad day for mathematics if he starts saying ‘told you so…’
This post is syndicated from Physics Stop – Original Post
Following Germany’s destruction of England and now Argentina, I’m getting distinctly worried that Professor Tolan’s probability theory is about to be proved correct.
It will be a sad day for mathematics if he starts saying ‘told you so…’
What is he actually used an elegant jump diffusion model to estimate the “duration time to win” a world cup. Perhaps there’s more to it than that news report suggests?
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Ah, but the important is why, right? It won’t be because the basis of it is sound…