Tagged: demographics

New Zealanders’ population choices - The Dismal Science

Michael Reddell May 20, 2017

The other day Statistics New Zealand released the annual data on New Zealand birth rates.  There was some coverage of the continuing drop in teen birth rates (it was what SNZ highlighted), but the chart that caught my eye was this one.     I’d been under the impression that New Zealand’s birth rate was at, or just … Read More

Demographic disruption in New Zealand - Guest Work

Guest Work Jan 25, 2017

By Distinguished Professor Paul Spoonley, Pro Vice-Chancellor of the College of Humanities and Social Sciences, Massey University. This second decade of the 21st century is proving to be one of the most transformative globally and locally, especially in terms of demographic change. The consequences for the ageing of societies from the pipeline effects of the baby boom in the … Read More

The Herald’s wrongheaded call for an ever-bigger population - The Dismal Science

Michael Reddell May 28, 2016

The Herald’s editorial on Saturday was headed “Population growth is powering NZ economy”.  It isn’t just a statement of the rather obvious, that a rapid growth in the population –  particularly unexpectedly rapid growth – boosts total GDP.    When there are more people, they all need to consume stuff, and they need houses, schools, shops, roads, offices etc.  And … Read More

Societal trends - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Mar 30, 2016

Hans Rosling, of Gapminder fame, and perhaps the world’s most enthusiastic statistician, has an hour long video making the case that increasing global population levels aren’t fundamentally a prelude to disaster. (You can read a synopsis here). You can also save time by looking at these shorter videos showing the key trends of … Read More

Last bus stop before Antarctica - The Dismal Science

Michael Reddell Nov 26, 2015

I was having a discussion the other night in the margins of the Goethe Institute event about the extent to which we should think about New Zealand’s economic advantages and opportunities as natural resource based.  I’ve been running a proposition that the only thing really going for us is the land, its attendant resources (fish, wind, geothermal, as … Read More

Does centrality still give status? - The Dismal Science

Eric Crampton Nov 17, 2015

Robin Hanson wonders whether cities are places for high-status men and the women who seek them, with low-status men relegated to the hinterlands: I’ve heard that polygamous sects are often run this way today, with older men kicking out young men when they come of age. But re-reading Montaillou on rural 1300 France makes me realize that humanity has … Read More

The awakening lions – Africa in 85 years - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Jul 18, 2013

While there is a lot of attention on the rising power of China, the stuttering development of India, and the potential of Brazil and Russia, think ahead to Africa. The Washington Post has written a nice piece about the rising demographic might of Africa, based on UN projections. Barring major catastrophes (famine, disease, war, environmental collapse, … Read More

Intergenerational Justice - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Apr 22, 2013

Following on from my last post, I came across this 2011 series of videos on Intergenerational Justice from the Oxford Martin School. They are all quite long (some shorter snappier versions would be helpful so that they are more widely viewed) and I haven’t watched them all, but the one on Is the fiscal crisis forcing a … Read More

Intergenerational equity - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Apr 16, 2013

Last week I went to demographer Paul Spoonley’s informative lecture at the Treasury about migration. He started off by noting a conversation he had with his son, where the latter proclaimed that “the baby boomer generation is constructing a future that will leave problems for subsequent generations”. Paul didn’t directly respond to this question in his lecture, but I got … Read More

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