Tagged: election

Why are polls getting it wrong?: Brexit and Trump - Chthonic Wildlife Ramblings

Brendan Moyle Nov 11, 2016

There seems to be a fair bit of bashing of Pollsters of late.  This is not surprising given that Brexit was expected to vote remain, and Clinton was expected to win the US presidential vote. The naive criticism is that the Pollsters got it wrong.  I’m going to call this naive as in the case Brexit the polls were saying … Read More

US Election: We’re still here - The Dismal Science

Michael Reddell Nov 10, 2016

For the last 24 hours, the US election has been much much more interesting that anything New Zealand-related that I might have written about.   Even my 10 year old came home from school yesterday telling me that her class had been following the early results intensely, even if (she reported that) some of the offspring of liberal Island Bay … Read More

Auckland voter turn-out mapped - The Dismal Science

James Zuccollo Oct 12, 2016

I had a bit of a play around with mapping the voter return data from the 2016 Auckland local body elections (raw data available here).  I looked at it two ways: What areas had the highest/lowest turnout? (i.e. where is participation high/low) What areas had the highest raw number of votes? (“who elects the mayor”) Maps addressing these two … Read More

It’s all about the math, dummy! - Kidney Punch

John Pickering Sep 18, 2014

No one understands the electoral maths of the NZ electoral system including the electoral commission apparently. Last night I put the latest figures from the “Poll of Polls” into the electoral commission calculator and I discovered the calculator was broken! I put the figures in with United Future winning one electorate seat, but when it crunched … Continue reading → … Read More

Policy our lives depend on: Health research in election 2014 - Kidney Punch

John Pickering Aug 21, 2014

We all care about health – ours, our family’s, and even that of one or two politicians (perhaps). We also care that the 15 billion dollar annual health budget is spent on health care that works.  I contend that both these cares are only as good as the health research that underpins the treatments we receive.  Therefore, … Continue reading → … Read More

Let's Talk Politics - Molecular Matters

Michael Edmonds Jul 23, 2014

Well it is less than two months until the next general election in New Zealand and I must admit I feel more unsure than ever about who I will vote for. Traditionally I have tended to vote Labour because they have always seemed to have a good social conscience while avoiding what I used to interpret as the anti-science attitude … Read More

Election lessons for consultants - The Dismal Science

Bill Kaye-Blake Nov 15, 2012

One of the curious stories out of the US presidential election is about the consultants on the Romney campaign. Apparently, they made a lot of money: Much of Romney’s operation, for example, appears to revolve around a close-knit group of insiders at American Rambler Productions, which took in more than $160 million through mid-October, records [...] … Read More

Obama 91% Romney 9% - Kidney Punch

John Pickering Nov 07, 2012

I published yesterday about my modeling showing Ricky Ponting’s last innings helps predicts the chance of Australia winning.  Today I came across the New York Times “538″ blog which uses a prediction model to predict Obama currently has a 91% chance of winning the Presidential Elections.  The reason it is so different from the polls … Continue reading » … Read More

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