Ariadne

Auckland’s possible futures – the simplistic version

Robert Hickson • Aug 01, 2018

• Auckland,
• future,
• New Zealand future

Auckland Council’s long term spatial plan to 2050 is out. There seems to be lots of good data released with it that is worth exploring. But the thing getting the most attention at the moment is one of five scenarios in the brief Possible futures part that was released along with the plan. The “Two speed … Read More

Thinking beyond the impossible burger

Robert Hickson • Jul 12, 2018

• agriculture,
• animal ethics,
• Environment,
• farming,
• future,
• future of food,
• futures methodology,
• meat exports,
• New Zealand

The agricultural sector has long been called a “sunset industry”. If so, it’s more a long drawn out polar twilight than a quick tropical dusk. Rosie Bosworth has written about New Zealand becoming the ‘Detroit of Agriculture’. Scary stuff, for some. A welcome transformation for others, if you read the opinion pieces. But are predictions of the … Read More

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Jetpack joyrides

Robert Hickson • Jun 19, 2018

• future,
• jetpack,
• metaphor,
• optimism,
• science fiction

The Jetpack has been a futuristic symbol of techno-utopia, and freedom, for a century. The first jetpack was conceived in 1919. It wasn’t until 1958, though, that the first working model was created. But they still seem further from general availability than the comparatively more pedestrian flying car, which I wrote about last year. There … Read More

Lest we forget the future

Robert Hickson • Apr 25, 2018

• anzac day,
• aspiration,
• climate change,
• foresight,
• future,
• History,
• past,
• Society

As we always do this time of year in NZ we look back and honour past wartime sacrifices, and reflect on how they have shaped the national mindset and identity. That’s important to do, but it seems that as a country we spend a lot of time in reflection and too little looking forward. Well, you may say, the world … Read More

Green sky thinking

Robert Hickson • Apr 09, 2018

• agriculture,
• Biofuels,
• capability building,
• carbon capture,
• coal,
• consumerism,
• Electricity,
• home heating,
• horticulture,
• Hydrogen,
• hydrogen power,
• mountains,
• New Zealand,
• oceans,
• oil,
• political power,
• radical change,
• shell,
• stability,
• technological,
• technology,
• vehicles

We are starting to see more scenarios about getting to a “decarbonised” future. One where greenhouse gas emissions are no longer a problem. Many scenarios are forgettable. The good ones have the power to create the change. Shell has added a new futures scenario, called Sky, to its New Lens scenario set. I think … Read More

Electric vehicles are their consequences

Robert Hickson • Mar 25, 2018

• Airbnb,
• cars,
• electric cars,
• energy,
• energy network,
• Environment,
• green paper,
• New Zealand,
• power,
• technology,
• transport,
• vehicle

Electric vehicles are increasingly popular, but for society they aren’t as simple as “plug ‘n drive”. Vector energy have produced a useful green paper on the implications of electric vehicles for NZ’s energy system I wrote last year about some of the issues facing a growing electric vehicle fleet here. Vector explores some of … Read More

Future foods of the dogs

Robert Hickson • Mar 19, 2018

• biotechnology,
• food,
• lab-grown meat,
• pets

There has been quite a lot of fascination with lab-grown meats, such as the “impossible burger” [Correction: whoops, the impossible burger is, of course, made from plants. Wired has a recent article on the lab-grown kinds]. There is still a long way to go with them to become economically and gustatorily … Read More

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What can AI do right now?

Robert Hickson • Mar 16, 2018

• artificial intelligence

With all the hype and speculation about artificial intelligence it is nice to get some perspective on current applications. The site DeepIndex does this, recording 320 (and counting) reports of applications. They break this down into applications that are: “Crushing it” – meaning they are particularly successful, such as in playing the game Go Competent – perform … Read More

Little future houses on the prairie

Robert Hickson • Mar 12, 2018

• construction,
• future,
• innovation

There’s plenty of innovative thinking around building houses, but less so about communities. I’ve been writing a series of blogs on the future of construction for the industry transformation initiative. They’ll be appearing on their website over the next few months. There’s a lot going on in the housing and construction field. It’s not just about increasing … Read More

How many jobs will automation create and destroy?

Robert Hickson • Feb 28, 2018

• Automation,
• future of work,
• jobs,
• MIT,
• prediction,
• technology

I’ve written previously about how no one really has any idea about the effect of automation on jobs. Erin Winick has done the hard work to illustrate that by compiling the predictions of  numbers of jobs created or destroyed by various pundits and studies. Mostly these predictions focus on the US, with a few … Read More