Ariadne

Transforming Not Recovering

Robert Hickson Oct 24, 2011

In my previous post  I noted some of the major global changes underway. No one has the solution to how best navigate the energy, economic, educational, and geopolitical transitions underway. So what could New Zealand do? Futures practitioners often write about ‘possible futures’, ‘probable futures’ and ‘preferred futures’. The object of the last is to identify where you’d … Read More

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Turbulent Transitions

Robert Hickson Oct 17, 2011

If you are keeping up with your futures’ reading then you’ll know about the plethora of trends and drivers that are shaping, or could shape, our future — continuing globalization, population growth or stagnation (depending where you live), multilateralism, paying down debt, urbanisation, aging western populations, obesity, rising economic inequalities, energy crises, climate change, technological convergences, economic growth across Asia, … Read More

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Illuminating communication

Robert Hickson Sep 30, 2011

Wired Magazine recently featured the new big thing in the lighting world – Light Emitting Diodes. But wait, there’s more. Harald Haas is developing LEDs that can transmit data, so wherever there is a light you could get high speed wireless data. He suggests that this will dramatically improve capacity, efficiency, availability and security of  data transmission. As … Read More

Energy Forecasts

Robert Hickson Sep 30, 2011

The US’s Energy Information Administration has released its International Energy Outlook 2011. This forecasts energy demand out to 2035.  A caveat is that their assessments assume no new policy or legislative initiatives being introduced that could affect energy markets. Drivers: Economic development, technological innovation Trends: Increasing energy consumption, diversifying energy supplies, exploitation of new sources of fossil fuels … Read More

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Game on?

Robert Hickson Sep 23, 2011

Thankfully (or sorry) this isn’t about rugby or world cups. It is about what if real world problems become games. Ariadne’s snapshot on gaming in the real world: Drivers: smarter computing and open innovation Trend: using on-line games to solve problems and generate ideas Challenges: making the games relevant and engaging, sifting the ideas Opportunities: solving difficult problems, gathering fresh … Read More

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The Internet of Things

Robert Hickson Sep 02, 2011

An interesting infographic from Cisco forecasts the anticipated growth of devices connected over the internet. It notes that the number of things connected to the internet in 2008 was greater than the world population. By 2020 it predicts that 50 billion things will be connected — from cows to household appliances. This assumes that Internet Protocol version 6 is … Read More

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Barriers to clean energies

Robert Hickson Aug 31, 2011

Clean energy technologies are being hailed by some as the sixth great technology revolution — an insurrection that will free us from the shackles of fossil fuels, and provide the staging ground for further economic growth without the nasty environmental and military consequences of an addiction to hydrocarbons. However, this revolution will play out over decades. [“Clean” is relative of … Read More

Social disorder

Robert Hickson Aug 19, 2011

There has been much debate all over the place about the causes of the recent riots in the UK. Similar discussion and analyses occurred following the ‘Arab spring’ uprisings earlier in the year. In this post I look at signals and trends that are being used to forecast social disorder in various parts of the world. Conflicts over resources … Read More