By Helen Petousis Harris 13/07/2018

In the tiny Pacific Nation of Samoa, on Friday 6 July 2018, two babies died shortly after receiving MMR vaccine. How could this happen?

Lots of discussion is going around about this tragedy, and even more questions. Here are some responses to the things I have been asked this week summarised under the headings below.

  • About MMR vaccines
  • How safe are MMR vaccines?
  • The risks of measles mumps and rubella
  • People who should forego the MMR vaccine
  • How can vaccination with MMR go wrong?
  • What happened in Samoa?

About MMR vaccines

MMR vaccines were originally developed in the 1970s to protect against measles, mumps, and rubella, in one convenient jab. However, there is a long history of the development and use of measles-containing these vaccines that extends back to the 1960s.

The measles-containing vaccines are called live vaccines. This is because the viruses in the formulation are viable, they can replicate. The viruses need to replicate to get the body to make an immune response that will be protective against disease but they have also been weakened so they are unable to cause disease. These vacciens are extremely effective with measles and rubella vaccines likely providing life-long protection.

It is hard to estimate exactly how many people in the world have received these vaccines but in 2016 85% of one year olds had received a dose of measles-containing vaccine, like the MMR. Given each year the world welcomes over 130 million newcomers the number of people having received these vaccines will be well in the billions.

An estimated 20.4 million lives had been saved between 2000 and 2016 through use of measles vaccine and way more during the preceding decades, however, even in 2016 over 89,000 deaths from measles occurred.

The point is, an awful lot of vaccine has been used and many lives saved!

How safe are MMR vaccines?

Short answer: Very.

Longer answer: Relatively common events associated with MMR vaccine are  Fever and/or mild rash 6–12 days after immunisation due to the measles component, fever and/or mild swelling under the jaw 10—14 days after immunisation due to the mumps component, fever, mild rash and/or swollen glands 2—4 weeks after immunisation due to the rubella component. Temporary joint pain 2—4 weeks after immunisation is more common in adult women than children.

Rare adverse events associated with MMR vaccine: Temporary low platelet count about 1/30,000; convulsion associated with a fever about 1-2 per million doses, Encephalitis less than 1 per million, infection free meningitis about 1 per 800,000 to 1 per million, and anaphylaxis 1 per million.

Yes there are some rare but serious risks.

How do we know? Nearly sixty years of safety surveillance and studies, the nature of which I have summarised in these pages previously.

Risks from those diseases

Here are some figures on the risks from measles, mumps, and rubella.

Measles: Ear infection (otitis media), diarrhoea, pneumonia, low platelet count, encephalitis (brain inflammation) for around 1 person out of 1000—2000 cases, weakened immune system, hospitalisation for around 1-2 person out of 10 cases death for around 1 person out of 1000 cases despite treatment, degenerative brain disease for around 1 person out of 100,000 cases, occurs years later and is always fatal. Measles during pregnancy increases the risk of miscarriage or premature birth.

Mumps: Fever, headache, swelling and pain of one or more glands under the jaw, viral meningitis for up to 15 people out of 100 cases, temporary deafness for around 4 people out of 10 cases and permanent deafness for around 1 person out of 15,000 cases, inflammation of the testicles or ovaries in adolescents and adults, nerve, joint, kidney, heart inflammation, encephalitis (brain inflammation) for around 1 person out of 6000 cases, which may result in death for 1 person out of 100, death for 1—2 people out of 100,000 cases, mumps during early pregnancy increases the risk of miscarriage.

Rubella: Some cases have no symptoms, which increases the risk of exposing pregnant women to the disease, rash and painful swollen glands, joint pain in adolescents and adults, low platelet count, encephalitis (brain inflammation) for around 1 person out of 6,000 cases. Rubella during early pregnancy can cause severe abnormalities in unborn babies including deafness, blindness, heart defects, and brain damage.

People who should forego the MMR vaccine

Because the MMR vaccine has live (albeit weak) viruses in it should not be given to some people. These people should not get the MMR vaccine:

  • Anyone who has experienced a severe allergic reaction (anaphylaxis) to a previous dose of any measles, mumps or rubella containing vaccine or any of the vaccine components.
  • Anyone who is acutely unwell. The presence of a minor infection is not a reason to delay immunisation.
  • Anyone with a diagnosed weakness of their immune system.
  • Anyone who has received another live injected vaccine, including varicella (chickenpox) or BCG vaccines, within the previous month.
  • Women who are currently pregnant (women should delay pregnancy for one month after having the vaccine). However there is no evidence of harm if this happens

How can vaccination with MMR go wrong?

Having mentioned the known risks with MMR vaccine above there are other things that can go wrong.

  • MMR vaccine often comes as a lyophilised powder (freeze dried). It needs to be reconstituted with a diluent, in this case sterile water for injection. There have been tragic occasions where instead of the vaccine diluent provided with the product another substance was inadvertently used to reconstitute the vaccine. If this substance is something like morphine, adrenaline, of anaesthetic the consequences are likely to be disastrous. An example of this occurred in Syria where it appears likely the vaccine was mixed with a muscle relaxant from the same fridge. Fifteen children died and a number of others were very ill.
  • Contamination of the vaccine by bacteria can happen when multi dose vials are used. While in NZ we use single dose vials, some countries use vials that contain five or ten doses. Once reconstituted these need to be used within a few hours then discarded. If left lying around in a warm place the growth of bacteria can set in. MMR vaccine has no preservative to stop this from happening. Using a damaged product can result in overwhelming sepsis and/or poisoning from toxins that the bacteria produce. A terrible case in the Sudan involved untrained workers and a single syringe for the whole 4-day campaign, and no access to cold chain. Like the Syrian disaster, fifteen children died, hundreds were ill.

However, even when the vaccine has been stored and handled properly things can still go wrong.

  • Vaccination with an underlying deficiency of the immune system. Sometimes people with immune deficiency, such as being on immune suppressive drugs like steroids, chemotherapy, or having an inherited immune deficiency, or HIV infection, or undiagnosed blood cancer, may be inadvertently vaccinated with a live vaccine. What happens? Usually nothing. However, there is a risk that their immune system isn’t working well enough to control the replicating vaccine virus. This could develop a disseminated vaccine-related infection.
  • Investigations might find that the person had an undiagnosed underlying condition, something that sat dormant waiting for the right trigger. There are many infectious diseases that do this, such as influenza, herpes viruses, hepatitis viruses, chicken pox… Very occasionally a vaccine can do this too.

Finally, despite best practice there are some events that are unavoidable. Very, very, rarely a previously healthy person will have a serious allergic reaction to MMR vaccine which can be treated.

What happened in Samoa?

Until the investigations have been completed and reported on we cannot say what did happen.

However, given the batch of vaccine involved had been in use in that country since August last year, and given the same batch of vaccine has been used in South American countries and the Caribbean island nations without incident, it seems unlikely that there was anything wrong with the vaccine.

The reports from the parents of the children affected on Friday indicate the reactions occurred within minutes after vaccination. This would preclude a response to the vaccine viruses as this takes at least a week. While anaphylaxis occurs within minutes and can be fatal when not treated the odds of seeing this twice in a day at the same place, given a chance of 1 in a million doses, is literally astronomical.

Global experts are assisting Samoan authorities in their investigation. We still need to understand what happened then implement measures to prevent such a thing from happening again. On top of the tragic loss of two children there is also the loss of trust in the health professionals that seek to protect people.

0 Responses to “How safe is the MMR vaccine?”

  • Many thanks for this.
    I assume this must be due to some mistake (ie human error) in preparation of the vaccine for injection as you suggest.
    Some years ago there were deaths in Syria when instead of water an anaesthetic agaent was used to reconstitute the MMR vaccine. I am sure something similar will have happened here.

    • Thanks Mike
      It seems the most likely scenario based on the information to hand.

  • Scrambling for damage control? Yes very safe. One in a million you would say. I do not know a million people but I know, by way of my professional work, and personal life, hundreds who have been killed or maimed by this vaccine alone. Stop blaming human error. If a person died of a heroin overdose, after safely using it daily for 20 years, would you blame the heroin or the user? If a person had survived 10 heart attacks while in a cardiac unit, but the 11th was fatal, would you blame the treatment or the heart? Stop making excuses. Vaccines never have been safe. In fact, they have never been tested for safety so your claim is an outright lie. Kennedy and Bigtree have recently exposed the fact that despite the agreement some decades ago for exemption from prosecution for the thousands of vaccine injured or killed patients, safety tests would be conducted every two years. NOT ONE has been conducted. Just the same fatcat, heavily funded clowns spouting the same lies to placate the ignorant masses. Yes, let’s see you publish this.

  • Thank you, Doctor. Your excellent efforts at comprehensible vaccine explanation are really appreciated, far and wide. I hope you find it rewarding; you deserve to.

  • Hello Helen. This makes for interesting reading. I wonder whether a Coroners Report will be forthcoming and, if so, whether (or not) it will be made public ..

  • Its now a criminal case. Assuming it goes to trial, the entire detail will be public, including any findings of fact from a post mortem.

  • Thank you HelenAshton. I wonder whether a Coroners Report will be forthcoming and, if so, when it will be made public ..

  • The point of my question, Ashton, is simply to find out / establish when the report will be made public. That straightforward.

    • Just keep in mind this is not a NZ issue so not subject to NZ policy and practice.

  • Shall do thank you Helen. I had a (minor) role in the NZ meningococcal B project some years ago, and took particular interest in the ensuing public fallout / controversy at that time; hence my interest in this event.

  • Hi Helen, I’ve read that some vaccines require that the vial be shaken before administration.

    For example, the inactivated Hep A states: “Shake well before use. With thorough agitation, Havrix is a homogeneous, turbid, white suspension. Do not administer if it appears otherwise. ”

    Just wondering what could happen if the directions are not followed correctly?

    • Hi Rebekah
      Nothing would happen from a vaccine safety perspective if the vaccine were not suspended by shaking or inverting several times. The only risk of not inverting or shaking is that some of the active ingredient remains adhered to the vial and does not get injected. If less vaccine antigen is administered then there is a potential for a lower immune response.

  • Which, is rather interesting, as the CDC itself seems to place extraordinary importance on mixing protocols, processes and procedures (and compliance with ‘temperature controls)

    Having perused the entire 76 pages of ‘Storage and Handling instructions’, I am struck by the apparent levels of importance placed on correct handling / mixing procedures, and the oftly repeated exhortations – often in italics and / bold – such as: “Do Not Use”, “Separate from compromised Vaccines’, and “Discard compromised vaccines”.

    I cannot help but ask: Why the variance between the CDC instruction, and your guidance on this matter please. Does it really matter or ..

    Sincerely: David Bernard

    • David,
      I am not sure where I have provided any guidance on vaccine storage? Nor why you would want to read the entire 76 pages of US storage and handling instructions given you are not required to handle vaccines. You must have a considerable amount of free time.

      My comments pertain on the conditions that might cause a life threatening event should mishandling of a vaccine occur. Improper storage of vaccines can result in loss of potency. Maintenance of cold chain is vital for the integrity of biologicals.

  • David,

    Bear in mind that the CDC is a USAnian institution, writing for USAnian readers, and in this case for USAnian administrators of USA sourced vaccines.

    Helen is a NZ specialist, writing on a NZ blog about mainly NZ vaccines and NZ vaccine policy. NZ vaccines, the NZ vaccine schedule, the instructions for using NZ vaccines and following the NZ vaccine schedule all differ from those in the USA.

    Some of the differences likely reflect differences in legal practices between the two countries.

    USA has the CDC. NZ has the MoH.

    Effectively, the question you are asking breaks down to “Why doesn’t a NZ specialist slavishly follow the rules set down for the USA?” The answer is obvious: because they follow the guidance written for the country they work in, which happens to be NZ.

  • Hello Helen. You are right; you werent providing guidance on vaccine storage. Rather, you were answering a specific question about mixing them. To mention, I find that on re perusing the CDC Storage / Handling instructions, several (but not all) of the aforementioned “exhortations”referred to the storage side of Handling, not the actual mixing.

    And, I take Stuart’s point, that the differences in handling / mixing instruction are likely to reflect differences in legal practices between the two Countries. Which makes sense. Given that most of NZs childhood Schedule vaccines are manufactured by GSK in Belgium must add a measure of added complexity to the scenario also ..

  • This blog item hasnt reached a logical conclusion. And somehow, the matter seems to have quietly, drifted out of public awareness.

    Meanwhile, I wrote to the NZ Justice Department, and sought a finding from them. I received this reply: “The New Zealand Coroner only has jurisdiction over deaths occurring in New Zealand. I believe that you can contact the Samoan Ministry of Justice at this address ( I am not sure what their policies are about releasing information.”

    Can anybody provide an update for / the findings of this unfortunate event?

  • David,

    As Ashton said, and you replied to:

    “Its now a criminal case. Assuming it goes to trial, the entire detail will be public, including any findings of fact from a post mortem.”

    The Fiji case is still sub judice. The wheels of justice tend to grind slowly in order to allow the defence to prepare their case. The public silence is to prevent prejudice in potential jurors.

    Wait for the trial to actually occur – your questions should be answered then.

  • Thank you Stuart. Is this blog item likely to keep readers updated on the matter or ..

  • From September 14th, 2018: For the interest of persons following this event>

    The Commission of Inquiry into the deaths of the infants commenced on 12th September. After hearing from the Samoan National Health Services, Ministry of Health and School of Nursing, the Commission highlighted the need for ongoing nurse training during their employment in the health sector.
    The Inquiry was adjourned on 14th September until after the Court proceedings against the two nurses charged with the manslaughter of the infants are concluded. The hearings are due to commence in February 2019.

    November 20th 2018
    Report on RNZ website: MMR vaccine is now being given again, and vaccination procedures revised and tightened. Minister of Health in Samoa, Tuitama Dr Leao Tuitama, responded to questions from the Samoa Observer “We have a new rigorous approach to assure the mistakes of the past will not be repeated.”

    • Hi Rebekah
      I think it might be more about a lack of suitable storage as opposed to something being wrong with the refrigerators. It is very important not to store vaccines with other medications, they must have their own seperate refrigerator.

  • Stuartg. Imagine of the Ministry of Transport suddenly decided that deaths due to MVA weren’t MVA deaths because the driver went to sleep at the wheel, or the driver was speeding and lost control of the car. There would be outcries all over the place.

    By any other definition, these kiddies were killed by the vaccination.

  • Rob,

    It’s not the vaccine that caused their deaths. (That’s not my opinion, by the way, just what has been reported to have happened.)

    It’d be like a mechanic failing to put in replacement brake pads, then the car later failing to stop and killing someone.

    No-one would blame the car design or the manufacturer. They would look askance at the mechanic as they failed to do their job properly.

    We can have sympathy for mistakes—we all make them—but they’d still have to carry responsibility as it was their error. You can’t shift the blame to something that’s not the issue.

    Just as a thought for the future: if you introduce an acronym it’s a good idea to give your intended meaning of it! For example, in medical circles MVA can mean Modified vaccinia Ankara (a highly attenuated poxvirus virus used as a vaccination vector), or Malignant ventricular arrhythmia, and more.

    • Let’s be clear.
      The children died because of an immunisation error, not an appropriately reconstituted and administered vaccine.
      MMR vaccine did not cause these deaths. That is a fact.

      Imagine you ordered a beer and someone pulled the wrong handle, gave you the same quantity of botulinum toxin and you drank it.

      The tragedy is medical error.

  • Rob,

    For many years now, deaths from Road Traffic Crashes have been known as deaths from RTCs. Not MVAs. Calling them “accidents” pre-supposes a cause before all the evidence has been evaluated – just as you appear to have pre-supposed that vaccines caused the death of those infants.

    Now all the evidence has been gathered, and has been evaluated by a court of law, the cause of death of those infants has been determined to be manslaughter. In other words, it wasn’t the vaccine…

  • @Rob,

    To point out what should be obvious, the words vaccine and vaccination are not synonymous. Vaccinations may have been the cause, but the vaccine as supplied was not at fault.