Amanda Kvalsvig, Nick Wilson, Carmen Timu-Parata, Belinda Tuari-Toma, Jennifer Summers, Cheryl Davies, Constanza Jackson, Julie Bennett, and Michael G. Baker*
Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) is likely to soon be experiencing widespread community transmission caused by the Omicron variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. In this blog we outline what is needed to protect the health and wellbeing of children (ie, those under 18 years) in this outbreak. Key principles include taking a whānau-centred, not a school system-centred approach; actively addressing inequities in risk and impact; and taking a precautionary approach to potential long-term harms. Māori leadership at policy and community level will be needed to ensure that children will be safe in all settings during an Omicron outbreak.
Lessons for NZ from the global experience of Omicron
The Omicron variant needs to be taken seriously as a public health threat because of the way it is causing explosive outbreaks with very high case numbers. In children, who are largely unvaccinated in many jurisdictions, (as in NZ), case numbers have been at their highest globally since the start of the pandemic (see Figure 1 for a US example). High numbers of child cases have led to extreme pressure on paediatric services in some overseas settings.
Impacts of the pandemic and the response can be experienced directly by children or indirectly through effects experienced by their families and communities (see our recent preprint and see also the Appendix to this blog where we provide some background detail about impacts on children). Because of the extremely rapid pace of Omicron outbreaks, countries are experiencing high direct impacts from the spread of the infection (eg, large numbers of cases) as well as indirect impacts (eg, supply chain problems because large numbers of essential workers are ill). These direct and indirect impacts are having a particularly heavy impact on health services, including barriers to non-Covid healthcare, and to the capacity of schools to continue functioning when community transmission levels are high.
An important impact of the pandemic response for child wellbeing is the loss of school time from isolation, quarantine, or school closure.1 In NZ, loss of face-to-face school time can have multiple adverse impacts on children because so much responsibility for children’s wellbeing is devolved to schools, including a caretaker function for working parents. In jurisdictions with high Omicron transmission, this dependence on children being in school has led to families needing to make difficult decisions that create conflicts between protecting children’s education and the health of children and family members, particularly those with underlying conditions.
This potential for severe disruption to children’s lives shows that careful consideration must be given to advancing and protecting the rights, interests, wellbeing and needs of all children during NZ’s Omicron outbreak. The impacts on children are likely to be highly inequitable. NZ has a poor track record of high inequities in the incidence and severity of infectious diseases.2 In particular, infectious disease impacts on Māori and Pasifika children are significantly higher than for other ethnicities.3 Already in the current Delta outbreak, Māori and Pasifika children are significantly over-represented in case data.
Figure 1. Covid-19 cases in the Los Angeles County school system, showing the increase in child cases since the onset of community transmission of the Omicron variant.
Internationally, encouraging and in some cases mandating children to be present in schools without putting protections in place has generated harms to children from infection and from loss of school time due to the disruption from high numbers of school-associated cases and contacts among both students and teachers. US schools have seen a rapid spread of the Omicron variant during in-person instruction in January 2022 compared to even just a few months prior when the Delta variant was the predominant variant (see also Figure 1). It is possible that transmission prevention strategies that were effective at preventing Covid-19 transmission in schools during in-person instruction for prior variants of Covid-19 are no longer as effective against the Omicron variant.
This simultaneous adverse impact on health and education is what we can expect to see with Omicron transmission in NZ and it needs to be averted using a proactive approach that is centred on the wellbeing of children and their whānau, rather than principally on the school system.
Summary and necessary next steps
The Omicron outbreak is a rapidly evolving population health threat, with impacts that are likely to be experienced across society but are likely to be particularly severe for Māori, Pasifika, and children with underlying health conditions and disabilities. Child case numbers are very high in several overseas countries that are experiencing Omicron outbreaks. Children are now the least-vaccinated age group in NZ and they are at risk of both direct and indirect harms from an Omicron outbreak. The great majority of NZ children are currently immunologically naïve to Covid-19, suggesting that the impact on children may be even more marked here than in other places.
Each Covid-19 protection layer has significant gaps for children that need action, as shown in Table 1.
Table 1. Closing the gaps in Covid-19 protection for children – which will also help protect whānau, communities, and mitigate overall impacts of an Omicron outbreak on the NZ health system and wider society.
|Domain||Protection gaps for children||Action that is needed|
|Vaccination against Covid-19||
|Capacity to stay home if symptomatic or testing positive for Covid-19||
|Protecting children’s wellbeing in the community||
Addressing the gaps will require:
- Taking a whānau-centred, not a school system-centred approach, so that children are protected in all environments, including home, school, and public spaces;
- Actively addressing inequities in risk and impact, particularly for tamariki Māori and Pasifika children; and
- Taking a precautionary approach to potential long-term harms.
The NZ Government has a duty of care under the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child10 (the Children’s Convention), including principles that that uphold the rights of all children without discrimination in all laws and policies, in particular referencing children’s rights in terms of health, wellbeing, welfare, participation, and identity. NZ ratified the Children’s Convention in 1993 and is due to be examined on progress on children’s rights later in 2022.
The value of a kaupapa Māori approach in responding to the Covid-19 pandemic and to previous public health emergencies such as the Canterbury and Kaikōura earthquakes demonstrates how quickly and effectively Māori and iwi organisations were able to mobilise to support their communities. All of these responses acknowledge the depth of experience and expertise available in communities across NZ for the type of response that will be needed in an Omicron outbreak. For this comprehensive approach to children’s wellbeing to work well, Māori leadership at policy and community level is integral to ensuring that children are safe wherever they are. Māori leadership means applying principles of active protection and participation as obligated under Te Tiriti o Waitangi, prior to inception of any planning. Explicitly ensuring Māori are influencing strategy, design, and planning of all health, social, welfare, education, cultural, environmental and justice outcomes, could be the determiner for achieving aspirations for whānau and communities.
NZ has mounted an effective response to previous Covid-19 variants, but has not fully realised the potential of valuable infection control measures such as optimising air quality in schools and mask use in children. Also, there is a high level of expertise in Māori and Pasifika-led community responses to Covid-19 and previous public health threats. The extent of Government- and community-level expertise suggests that much can be done to protect those most at risk and to mitigate population impacts from the developing Omicron outbreak.
Planning for Omicron should therefore include actions to:
- Prioritise Te Tiriti responsibilities and obligations regarding meeting the needs of tamariki and others within whānau. There should be formal evaluation using a Covid-19 impact assessment tool or other instrument
- Expedite the availability and equitable access of infection prevention measures for children, including Covid-19 vaccination (first, second, and third doses), high-grade masks, ventilation and filtration in schools, and paid sick leave for caregivers
- Prioritise equipment for schools in areas with high proportions of low-income families so that children of essential workers can safely attend face-to-face teaching with a minimal number of contacts and maximal prevention of airborne spread
- Mobilise and resource community organisations to build networks of social and practical support to enable children to stay home safely when infection risk in their local community is high; key measures will include ensuring food security and sovereignty, and organising neighbourhood outdoor activities for children to maintain social connections with peers and key supporting adults
- Develop and implement an integrated strategy for winter 2022 that builds on synergies in prevention of Covid-19 and other infections to protect access to healthcare and other services [Kvalsvig et al. in press]
- Recognise that children are not an isolated population and strengthen our capacity to protect both children and those around them (whānau centred approach) with a national mitigation strategy that will reduce as much as possible the high incidence and inequities of Covid-19 infection
- Embed these changes into the fabric of NZ communities as legacy infrastructure to protect NZ children not only during an Omicron outbreak, but in outbreaks from other Covid-19 variants, future epidemics and pandemics, and other similarly disruptive population health emergencies.
* Author details: AK is a former paediatrician and is now an epidemiologist at the University of Otago Wellington (UOW). CTP is a Māori registered nurse and public health researcher. BTT is a Māori public health and policy expert. JS is an epidemiologist and medical statistician at UOW. CD is leading research on Māori-led pandemic responses. CJ is an infectious diseases clinical research coordinator at Children’s Hospital Los Angeles. JB is a public health researcher with expertise on air quality in schools. NW and MB are professors of public health at UOW.
APPENDIX: ADDITIONAL BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Omicron infection in children
Clinicians overseas report that they have been seeing increased numbers of cases of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Childhood (MIS-C), a rare but severe form of Covid-19 infection in children. This condition is an additional concern for NZ because overseas results have shown high inequities by ethnicity (eg, in the UK, Scandinavia, and the US;5 see also Figure 2). There have also been reports that high numbers of infants aged <1 year are presenting to paediatric services during Omicron outbreaks. As a reminder that children are not separate from whānau, Covid-19 during pregnancy has been shown to cause complications for babies if mothers are unvaccinated.11
These factors suggest that Omicron should not be considered a mild infection in children at a population level. Questions have also been raised about the long-term effects on children. There is emerging evidence of Covid-19 involvement of the brain12 13 that can be detected even in mild cases. Findings of persistent symptoms (Long Covid) and of post-infectious complications such as new-onset diabetes in children following Covid-19 infection could have concerning implications for population health in the long term if large numbers of children are infected and a proportion experience these outcomes. As yet, these impacts are not quantified for the Omicron variant.
Figure 2. Health inequities in Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) as seen in the United States. The bar graph shows observed versus expected distributions of race and ethnicity for patients diagnosed with MIS-C between March 2020 and February 2021. Reproduced from Stierman et al.14
Children’s rights in the pandemic
Existing safeguards are set by the Covid Public Health Response Act 2020 order and the ongoing amendments made on a periodic basis, with the most recent amendment to the protection framework under consideration to be consistent with the NZ Bill of Rights Act 1990. Children and whānau who interact with the healthcare system have rights under the Code of Health and Disability Services Consumers’ Rights, outlined in the Health and Disability Commissioner Act 1994. This approach also requires all communication and associated resources to be supportive and inclusive of all children’s cultural, learning and health needs, including specific capabilities (particularly those with disabilities including those living in vulnerable communities).15
Impacts of pandemic response measures on children, particularly with regard to schools
In NZ the impact of the pandemic response on children’s learning and social experiences during the Alert Level system and more recently, the traffic light system, will be emerging. We anticipate substantial ongoing research and investigation, with opportunities for children to participate in future settings. Reviewing Government’s statutory requirements to ensure the health, safety, and protection of children is paramount.
There is an emerging consensus about what might be considered reasonable standards for indoor ventilation in schools, including optimal infrastructure goals for the long-term and more pragmatic goals for an urgent situation. We have previously proposed recommendations for optimising ventilation in NZ schools to reduce transmission, as air quality is frequently poor in NZ school buildings.16 Although progress has been made, these mitigations are not yet fully rolled out in schools across NZ, raising concerns about Omicron transmission within schools.7 8
- United Nations. Policy brief: Education during COVID-19 and beyond: United Nations, 2020.
- Baker MG, Telfar Barnard L, Kvalsvig A, et al. Increasing incidence of serious infectious diseases and inequalities in New Zealand: a national epidemiological study. Lancet 2012;379(9821):1112-9. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61780-7 [published Online First: 2012/02/23]
- Oliver J, Foster T, Kvalsvig A, et al. Risk of rehospitalisation and death for vulnerable New Zealand children. Arch Dis Child 2018;103(4):327-34.
- Karaca-Mandic P, Georgiou A, Sen S. Assessment of COVID-19 Hospitalizations by Race/Ethnicity in 12 States. JAMA Internal Medicine 2021;181(1):131-34. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.3857
- Townsend MJ, Kyle TK, Stanford FC. Outcomes of COVID-19: disparities in obesity and by ethnicity/race. Int J Obes (Lond) 2020;44(9):1807-09. doi: 10.1038/s41366-020-0635-2
- Tsankov BK, Allaire JM, Irvine MA, et al. Severe COVID-19 Infection and Pediatric Comorbidities: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Int J Infect Dis 2021;103:246-56. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.11.163
- Meuris C, Kremer C, Geerinck A, et al. Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 After COVID-19 Screening and Mitigation Measures for Primary School Children Attending School in Liège, Belgium. JAMA Netw Open 2021;4(10):e2128757-e57. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.28757
- Stein-Zamir C, Abramson N, Shoob H, et al. A large COVID-19 outbreak in a high school 10 days after schools’ reopening, Israel, May 2020. Eurosurveillance 2020;25(29):2001352. doi: doi:https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.29.2001352
- Gray L, Rose SB, Stanley J, et al. Factors influencing individual ability to follow physical distancing recommendations in Aotearoa New Zealand during the COVID-19 pandemic: a population survey. Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand 2021;51(sup1):S107-S26. doi: 10.1080/03036758.2021.1879179
- United Nations General Assembly. Convention on the Rights of the Child. United Nations, Treaty Series 1989;1577(3):1-23.
- Stock SJ, Carruthers J, Calvert C, et al. SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination rates in pregnant women in Scotland. Nat Med 2022 doi: 10.1038/s41591-021-01666-2
- Wenzel J, Lampe J, Müller-Fielitz H, et al. The SARS-CoV-2 main protease Mpro causes microvascular brain pathology by cleaving NEMO in brain endothelial cells. Nature Neuroscience 2021 doi: 10.1038/s41593-021-00926-1
- Fink EL, Robertson CL, Wainwright MS, et al. Prevalence and Risk Factors of Neurologic Manifestations in Hospitalized Children Diagnosed with Acute SARS-CoV-2 or MIS-C. Pediatr Neurol doi: 10.1016/j.pediatrneurol.2021.12.010
- Stierman B, Abrams JY, Godfred-Cato SE, et al. Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children in the United States, March 2020 to February 2021. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2021;40(11):e400-e06. doi: 10.1097/inf.0000000000003294 [published Online First: 2021/08/13]
- Ministry of Health. Whakamaua: Māori Health Action Plan 2020-2025. Wellington: Ministry of Health, 2020.
- Bennett J, Davy P, Trompetter B, et al. Sources of indoor air pollution at a New Zealand urban primary school; a case study. Atmos Pollut Res 2019;10(2):435-44. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2018.09.006