Tagged: future

Future war & peace - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Apr 29, 2014

While this past weekend the country has looked back on wars past, what of the future of war? There are two questions here – will there be wars in the future, and if so, how will they be fought? Armed conflicts have been declining (both in terms of number of wars and casualties) over recent decades, particularly following … Read More

Canada’s emerging technologies metascan - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Apr 09, 2014

The Canadian Government’s just released a report on emerging technologies. It looks out over the next 15 years and focuses on digital technologies, biotechnologies, nanotechnologies and neuroscience technologies, which they consider have the potential for disruptive rather than incremental innovation. As you’d expect they consider biological enhancements, nanofactories, robots, wired-up everything. There are no major surprises in their findings. Some … Read More

A sufficiency of trends - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Nov 21, 2013

Two recent reports highlight a range of trends affecting governments, but they take different approaches. The report from IBM – Six Trends Driving Change in Government – has a focus on the US but the trends are generally applicable. Their six (some more accurately considered drivers rather than trends) relate to: Performance – using data to inform “real-time” … Read More

Now for the Long Term - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Oct 21, 2013

The Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations have just released a report – Now for the Long Term.  In addition to laying out the megatrends and challenges facing the world, they also propose some solutions.     The report does a generally good job in setting out concisely some of the  “megatrends” (ie long … Read More

Trends in manufacturing - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Sep 09, 2013

Boeing’s Dreamliner has 6.5 million lines of software code for onboard systems support. It’s a very complicated aircraft. The new Chevy Volt – a humble little hybrid car – has 10 million lines. That says a lot about the direction of travel of transportation in particular, and manufacturing more generally. Simon Arnold noted in his comments … Read More

The awakening lions – Africa in 85 years - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Jul 18, 2013

While there is a lot of attention on the rising power of China, the stuttering development of India, and the potential of Brazil and Russia, think ahead to Africa. The Washington Post has written a nice piece about the rising demographic might of Africa, based on UN projections. Barring major catastrophes (famine, disease, war, environmental collapse, … Read More

A fictional timeline of the future - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Nov 28, 2012

In an earlier post I noted how optimistic some early 19th Century visions of the future were. I wondered then whether we are getting more pessimistic. Now there is some real data to play with. Brain Pickings has published an infographic from Giorgia Lupi called A visual timeline of the future based on famous fiction. Read More