Tagged: polls

Polling, landlines and the age of everybody is an expert - Mere Conjecture

Jack Auty • Sep 15, 2017 •

• elections,
• new zealand election,
• polling,
• polls,
• statistics

Polls can be wrong. But the Brexit polls had the race at 50/50 right before the election and that was a pretty good estimate of what happened. The Trump/Hillary polls estimated about a 71% chance of Hillary winning and you could argue that the polls were wrong, but that is like arguing that a coin that lands on … Read More

Why are polls getting it wrong?: Brexit and Trump - Chthonic Wildlife Ramblings

Brendan Moyle • Nov 11, 2016 •

• Brexit,
• election,
• polls,
• statistics,
• US election

There seems to be a fair bit of bashing of Pollsters of late.  This is not surprising given that Brexit was expected to vote remain, and Clinton was expected to win the US presidential vote. The naive criticism is that the Pollsters got it wrong.  I’m going to call this naive as in the case Brexit the polls were saying … Read More