Tagged: prediction markets

These 32 hours have 20 falsifiable forecasts - The Dismal Science

Eric Crampton Jun 13, 2013

Phillip Metaxas and Andrew Leigh sat through 32 hours of Australian talking-head TV.* In all that talking, they were able to find only 20 falsifiable forecasts from Australian pundits. The rest were so qualified that they were unfalsifiable. They suggest that talk show hosts demand falsifiable predictions: A nice start would be for Insiders host Barrie Cassidy to insist … Read More