Tagged: prediction

A myopic vision of the future - Ariadne

Robert Hickson May 05, 2014

The New York Times has a disappointing short article/graphic titled “A vision of the future from those likely to invent it“. Disappointing because they interview only 7 people, all from/associated with Silicon Valley, who are supposedly “driving the technological transformation”. Sure the internet is likely to have a large role in our future lives, but they have taken … Read More

Caveat artifex - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Feb 09, 2014

The title is my pig latin for let the worker beware. In the US The Atlantic picked up on the US Bureau of Labor Statistic’s projections of the fastest growing jobs over the next decade. The latter conclude that the fastest growing jobs will be in healthcare, office administration, retail sales, and the food workers. These are driven … Read More

Future Flash – McLab Burgers introduces Hyperloop intercity delivery system - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Aug 13, 2013

Personal jetpacks appear closer to hand, (sub)space tourism is heading to the launch pad, and Hyperloop travel is, possibly, on the drawing board. Is this, at last, the future some of us may have dreamed of? Not quite. Most of us won’t be able to afford these for some time. And given Wellington folk … Read More

Predicting disruptive technologies - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Jun 27, 2013

There’s a lot of intellectual as well as commercial interest in predicting what the next big technological developments will be. Last month McKinsey Global Institute published its list of  12 potentially economically disruptive technologies. This follows on the heels of Technology Review’s annual top 10 breakthrough technologies. For followers of the future there is likely to … Read More

Obama 91% Romney 9% - Kidney Punch

John Pickering Nov 07, 2012

I published yesterday about my modeling showing Ricky Ponting’s last innings helps predicts the chance of Australia winning.  Today I came across the New York Times “538″ blog which uses a prediction model to predict Obama currently has a 91% chance of winning the Presidential Elections.  The reason it is so different from the polls … Continue reading » … Read More

007 Billion – Crowdsourcing Intel - Ariadne

Robert Hickson Oct 11, 2012

A few years ago DARPA’s little sibling IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity) sought to improve the forecasting of future events through crowdsourcing. It established the Aggregative Contingent Estimation Program to “improve accuracy, precision and timeliness of forecasts for a broad range of events”. [Crowdsourcing refers to tapping into the insights of any and everyone with … Read More

Future History: Apocalypse Then - Skepticon

Darcy Cowan Mar 29, 2012

End of the world predictions and scenarios abound, we have always been fascinated with our own demise it seems. Last year I covered the predictions of Harold Camping and the relatively small following he had in his advertising the apocalypse campaign. This year we have the Mayans to blame and it’s rather more wide spread [&hellip … Read More